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Will Maui’s Housing Market Prices Reach New Heights or Experience a Slight Dip in 2025

Posted by benjamen.harper@gmail.com on July 2, 2025
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maui housing market forecast

Quick Facts

  • Median home price in Maui is expected to increase by 5-7% in 2024
  • The average sales price per square foot is around $800-$1,200
  • Maui’s housing inventory is projected to remain low, driving up prices
  • Demand for luxury homes and condos is on the rise
  • Kihei and Ka’anapali are among the most popular areas for buyers
  • New construction projects are focused on affordable housing and rentals
  • Interest rates are expected to remain relatively low, boosting buyer demand
  • Short-term rental regulations may impact the market, particularly for investors
  • Maui’s population growth is expected to continue, driving up housing demand
  • The median days on market for homes in Maui is around 30-60 days

Table of Contents

Maui Housing Market Forecast: What’s in Store for 2023 and Beyond?

As a leading real estate company in Hawaii, we at Hawaii Elite Real Estate are closely monitoring the Maui housing market. With its stunning natural beauty, pleasant climate, and growing demand for luxury properties, Maui is an attractive destination for homebuyers and investors alike. But what does the future hold for the Maui housing market? In this article, we’ll explore the latest trends, forecast, and predictions for the Maui housing market in 2023 and beyond.

The Maui housing market has been experiencing a steady increase in demand over the past year, driven by a combination of factors including low interest rates, a growing economy, and a lack of affordable housing options. According to current data from the Hawaii Association of Realtors, the median home price in Maui is around $900,000, with a total sales volume of over $3 billion.

Forecast for 2023

Our forecast for the Maui housing market in 2023 is bullish. With a growing economy and a shortage of affordable housing options, we expect to see continued demand for luxury properties and a slight increase in median home prices. Here’s a breakdown of our forecast for 2023:

Metric 2022 2023 Forecast
Median Home Price $900,000 $950,000
Total Sales Volume $3 billion $3.5 billion
Inventory 3-4 months 2-3 months

Key Drivers of the Market

Several key drivers are expected to impact the Maui housing market in 2023, including:

  • Low Interest Rates: With interest rates expected to remain low, buyers will continue to be able to secure financing at affordable rates, driving demand for luxury properties.
  • Growing Economy: Maui’s economy is expected to grow, driven by a thriving tourism industry and a diverse range of businesses, including healthcare, technology, and education.
  • Shortage of Affordable Housing: The ongoing shortage of affordable housing options in Maui will continue to drive up demand for luxury properties and increase prices.

Top Neighborhoods to Watch

Several neighborhoods in Maui are expected to experience significant growth in 2023, including:

  • Kihei: With its convenient location and affordable housing options, Kihei is expected to see a surge in demand for luxury properties.
  • Wailea: This upscale neighborhood is expected to continue to attract high-end buyers and investors due to its stunning ocean views and luxury amenities.
  • Napili: This popular neighborhood is expected to see a boost in demand due to its picturesque natural beauty and growing popularity with families.

List of Top 5 Reasons to Invest in a Maui Property

If you’re considering investing in a Maui property, here are the top 5 reasons to do so:

  1. Strong Rental Income: With a shortage of affordable housing options, Maui’s rental market is expected to remain strong, generating high rental income for investors.
  2. : Maui’s diverse economy is expected to continue to grow, driving up demand for housing and increasing property values.
  3. Increasing Property Values: With a shortage of affordable housing options, property values in Maui are expected to increase, making now a great time to invest.
  4. Luxury Amenities: Maui offers a range of luxury amenities, including top-rated schools, upscale shopping centers, and world-class golf courses.
  5. Natural Beauty: Maui’s stunning natural beauty, including its beaches, hiking trails, and scenic views, make it a popular destination for tourists and residents alike.

The Impact of Climate Change

Climate change is expected to have a significant impact on the Maui housing market in 2023 and beyond. Rising sea levels, more frequent natural disasters, and increased storm surges are expected to affect coastal properties, potentially driving up insurance costs and reducing property values.

Frequently Asked Questions:

Maui Housing Market Forecast FAQ

  • What is the current state of the Maui housing market? The Maui housing market is currently experiencing a period of growth with increasing home prices and low inventory levels.
  • What are the factors driving the Maui housing market? The main factors driving the Maui housing market include a strong economy, low unemployment rates, and a high demand for housing due to tourism and relocation.
  • Will the Maui housing market continue to grow? Yes, the Maui housing market is forecast to continue growing, although at a slower rate than in previous years, due to increasing interest rates and a potential slowdown in the global economy.
  • What are the prospects for buyers in the Maui housing market? Buyers in the Maui housing market may face challenges due to low inventory levels and high prices, however, there are still opportunities for buyers to find affordable homes, especially in up-and-coming neighborhoods.
  • What are the prospects for sellers in the Maui housing market? Sellers in the Maui housing market can expect to receive high prices for their homes due to the strong demand and low inventory levels, however, sellers should be prepared for a potentially lengthy sales process.
  • How will interest rates affect the Maui housing market? Increasing interest rates may slow down the Maui housing market as buyers may be less likely to purchase homes due to higher borrowing costs, however, this may also lead to a more balanced market with more opportunities for buyers.
  • What are the trends in Maui housing market prices? Maui housing market prices are expected to continue rising, although at a slower rate than in previous years, with the median home price forecast to increase by around 5 percent per year for the next few years.
  • How will the Maui housing market be affected by new developments? New developments in the Maui housing market, such as new condos and single-family homes, may help to increase inventory levels and provide more opportunities for buyers, however, these developments may also lead to increased traffic and congestion in certain areas.
  • What is the outlook for the Maui housing market in the next 5 years? The outlook for the Maui housing market in the next 5 years is positive, with continued growth and increasing home prices, although the rate of growth may slow down due to increasing interest rates and a potential slowdown in the global economy.

Resources & Links

For Buyers & Sellers

Here is a personal summary of how the Maui housing market forecast impacts home buyers and sellers:

As a Home Buyer: The current Maui housing market forecast has significant implications for me as a home buyer. With prices expected to continue rising, I need to be prepared to act quickly when I find a property that meets my needs. The competitive market means that I’ll likely face multiple offers and bidding wars, which can be stressful and unpredictable.

To navigate this market successfully, I’ll need to get pre-approved for a mortgage, have a clear understanding of my budget, and be prepared to negotiate. I’ll also need to stay flexible and be open to different neighborhoods, types of properties, and amenities. Working with a knowledgeable and experienced real estate agent will be crucial in helping me navigate the market and finding the right property at the right price.

On the bright side, the strong market conditions mean that I’ll be investing in a property that’s likely to appreciate in value over time, which can be a great long-term investment. Additionally, with mortgage rates still relatively low, I’ll be able to secure a competitive interest rate and keep my monthly payments manageable.

As a Home Seller: As a home seller, the current Maui housing market forecast presents a tremendous opportunity to capitalize on the high demand and limited inventory. With prices increasing, I can expect to sell my property for a higher price than I would have in previous years. This means that I can potentially maximize my profit and put more money in my pocket.

However, it’s essential to price my property strategically to attract multiple offers and avoid overpricing. I’ll need to work with a real estate agent who knows the local market and can help me set a competitive price based on the property’s condition, location, and comparable sales.

The strong market conditions also mean that I’ll need to be prepared to move quickly and be flexible with my sale timeline. With many buyers eager to close deals, I may need to consider offering incentives or concessions to attract the right buyer. On the flip side, I’ll have the upper hand in negotiations, and I can be more selective about the offers I accept.

Overall, the Maui housing market forecast presents both opportunities and challenges for home buyers and sellers. By understanding the market trends and working with a knowledgeable real estate agent, I can navigate the process successfully and achieve my goals.

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